Fernando Alonso has let it slip once in conversation already this year: "Just wait until Monaco," he said to the Red Bull drivers with a smile in a green room. Just how seriously he rates his chances there is difficult to know, but of all the tracks on the calendar this is the one where the thus-far dominant Red Bull might be exposed.
On the evidence of GPS traces from qualifying at all the tracks this year, it's clear that the Aston Martin is comparably fast to the Red Bull through the corners but that it's nowhere near as aero-efficient, inducing a whole lot more drag than the Red Bull in creating its downforce. That's not such a problem around Monaco, with only the tunnel section really paying back on low drag.
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